I think that it is a pity that President Goodluck Jonathan's Government
declined to take up the challenge of the former Minister of Education,
Mrs.Obiageli Ezekwesile, to a public debate on the $67billion USD
savings that President Obasanjo left behind in 2007. I do not think that
our government ought to have run away from the debating ring. They
ought to have accepted the challenge of a rigorous public debate and
allow the Nigerian people to listen to it and make up their own minds
about who was right and who was wrong. I thought that the response of
the Special Assistant to the President On Public Affairs, Dr. Doyin
Okupe, to Obiageli Ezekwesili was more logical and made far more sense
than that of the Honorable Minister of Information, Labaran Maku's, but I
still believe that Obiageli Ezekwesili was right. I believe that the
Government's position on this issue and it's attempt to
over-aggressively defend what I personally consider to be the
indefensible is not only disengenious but it is also essentially
dishonest and self-seeking.
The charge that our foreign
reserves were heavily depleted between 2007 and 2013 cannot be
convincingly or logically denied. In 2007, President Olusegun Obasanjo
left 45 billion USD in our foreign reserves and 22 billion USD in our
Excess Crude Account. If the two figures are added up the amount that
you will come up with is 67 billion USD of savings for our country. This
is the figure that Obiageli Ezekwesili cited. It represents what was in
both our foreign reserves and our Excess Crude Account put together.
Let us look at the history. When President Olusegun Obasanjo came to
power in 1999 Nigeria only had 1.5 billion USD in her foreign reserves
and consequently no-one in the world took us seriously. We were poor,
weak and lonely and we were viewed as a failed state and a pariah
nation. No-one trusted us, no-one wanted to do business with us and
no-one seriously believed that we as a people or as a nation were
capable of enduring the rigours of serious economic recovery, prudence
and fiscal discipline. As far as the developed world was concerned
Nigeria was only good for it's endless supply of sweet bonny light crude
oil. Yet Obasanjo proved the world wrong and showed them that Nigerians
could do far better than they thought. After eight years of good
stewardship and the display of fiscal discipline and remarkable prudence
he built up those foreign reserves from a measly and pitiful 1.5
billion USD in 1999 to no less than 45 billion by 2007. This was quite
an achievement yet sadly what took place after Obasanjo left power was
very disheartening. It was not only a downer but it was also sad and
unfortunate. I say this because by the Federal Governments own
admission, and four long years after leaving 45 billion USD for the
Yar’adua administration to build on in 2007, we still only have that
same figure of 45 billion USD left in our foreign reserves today. Worse
still this was after it had plummeted to a shameful 30 billion USD under
late President Umaru Yar Adua. Had it not been for the fact that
whatever was coming in after we left in 2007 and over the last 4 years
was being recklessly shared and spent by the Yar’adua and later Jonathan
administrations our foreign reserves ought to have doubled and reached
at least 100 billion US dollars by now. That is just the foreign
reserves alone and I am not even adding the Excess Crude Account figures
yet. If I were to do that I would be talking about an expected increase
of up to 150 billion USD by today. That is what we ought to have in the
savings kitty today if the two governments that succeeded Obasanjo knew
anything about prudence, good management and fiscal discipline.
The difference is that under Obasanjo it was ”save, save, save” whilst
under Yar’adua and later Jonathan it has been ”spend, spend, spend’. Yet
if they insist on spending the question is what do they have to show
for such high expenditure and what has this cost the Nigerian people in
real terms. I believe that these are legitimate questions. Mrs.
Ezekwezile may have been inelegant or a little too harsh in her use of
words when she made those weighty assertions in her speech but her
analysis and conclusions surely cannot be faulted. Yet the Government
has given no reasonable explanation or response to her or the Nigerian
people and they do not even appear to like the fact that questions are
being asked.
As a a matter of fact they appear to believe that
it is an achievement for us to be exactly where we were four years ago
in terms of our foreign reserves by openly boasting that we have 45
billion USD saved today. The questions that we should put to them are as
follows - did you not save anything in the last 4 years in either
foreign reserves or the Excess Crude Account? Where did all the money
that accrued to you and that you ought to have saved go? How come 4
years after being handed 45 billion in foreign reserves and after
billions have come into your hands through record price crude oil sales
you still only have 45 billion saved? Is this not strange and absurd? Is
this the way a responsive and responsible government ought to behave?
Do they know the true meaning of ''saving for a rainy day''?
It is not surprising that the Prime Minister of Great Britain, The Right
Honorable David Cameron, asked just a few days ago where the 100
billion USD that Nigeria received from oil sales in the last few years
has gone. Would our Government be good enough to answer his question and
tell him even if they feel that they don't owe the Nigerian people
themselves an explanation? As far as I am concerned it is not something
that our government should be proud of that 4 years after Obasanjo
handed 45 billion USD to them as savings in foreign reserves they have
not built on it in all that time but rather they have spent all the
receivables and inflows that came in after that time and that ought to
have been saved.
Yet the story does not stop there. It gets
worse. Apart from the sorry tale about our foreign reserves, the story
about the usage and outright draining of our Excess Crude Account is
even more damning. It goes like this. When President Obasanjo left power
in 2007 the Excess Crude Account had just over 22 billion USD in it’s
coffers. This figure was built up by Obasanjo from zero in 1999 because
at that time there was no Excess Crude Account. In 8 years he built it
up from zero to 22 billion USD. Yet when the Yara’dua administration and
later the Jonathan administration came in ALL the money in that account
was shared with the state governors and spent.
The Federal
Government saved nothing for a rainy day and instead chose to just spend
all the money. It was was initially run down to zero by President Umaru
Yar Adua's government but, in fairness to President Jonathan, he has
now been able to build it up to approximately 10 billion USD. This
represents approximately half the figure that Obasanjo left in that
account in 2007 but at least it is a step in the right direction. Yet if
both the Yar adua and Jonathan government’s had continued to save and
not just spend all the money we would have had at least 50 billion USD
in the Excess Crude Account today and not just a paltry 10.
Whichever way one looks at it, when one sees all these figures and
considers the strong position that we were coming from in 2007 it
represents a failure in fiscal discipline by both the Yar’adua and
Jonathan administrations. This is because the Federal Governmentt was
meant to build up on the legacy that they inherited in 2007 and not
spend and squander all that money. For the purpose of emphasis permit me
to repeat the fact that had they been doing the right thing in the last
4 years and not overspending we ought to be hitting at least 100
billion USD in our foreign reserves by now and at least 50 billion in
the Excess Crude Account. Yet we have not seen anything near that and
instead all we have seen is a depletion and a drain of both accounts and
the monies that ought to have accrued to them since 2007.
Finally when President Obasanjo came to power in 1999 our foreign debt
was 30 billion USD. Yet by sheer dint of hard work by the time he left
office 8 years later he had paid off the foreign debt compltely and for
the first time in its history Africa had a debt-free nation. This was a
monuemental achievement by any standard and one that which every
serious-minded and patriotic Nigerian ought to be proud of no matter
what side of the political divide they stand. Yet sadly 4 years later
we are back in chronic debt to the tune of 9 billion USD and we are
still borrowing. In view of the foregoing it is perfectly legitimate for
anyone to ask how come so much money was spent, what it was spent on
and how the government has managed our resources over the last 4 years.
As a matter of fact not asking any questions would be most unpatriotic
and it would lay some of us open to the charge of cowardice and
collusion.
Since 2007 we have seen nothing but depletion
of our resources and more and more borrowing. Unlike President
Obasanjo, both President Yar Adua and President Jonathan's governments
did not build up our reserves or save any money. Instead they both spent
recklessly and borrowed more and more. As a matter of fact if our
government continues to borrow at the rate it has been borrowing for the
lastr four years for another two years Nigeria will be back to having a
foreign debt of close to 30 billion USD very soon. That was where we
were in 1999 and if that were to ever happen it would be a tragedy of
monuemental proportions.
I sincerely hope that other
than the usual insults, intimidation, sponsored stories, persecution and
baseless allegations that are channeled against and heaped on some of
us for pointing out these matters and raising these questions, the
Federal Government will endeavour to change it's ways and display a
greater degree of fiscal discipline and accountability to the Nigerian
people. To that extent I am in total agreement with my former cabinet
colleague in the Obasanjo administration, Mrs. Obiageli Ezekwezile.
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